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If she can’t make up her mind, then she should stay where she is and run for the same seat that she currently represents in the 30th Congressional District. Supposedly, she will announce her decision early Monday.
Trump won the 32nd Congressional District by 18% points, so the three democrats are playing musical chairs. If Crocket stays in the 30th Congressional District, either Julie Johnson or Marc Veasey will have to decide where to run and against whom. It is complicated. People run for positions that they know or should know that there is a better chance of a snowball not evaporating in hell.
Texas Tribune
Crockett’s potential entry into the U.S. Senate race is the final domino hanging over Democratic plans in North Texas. If she jumps into the Senate race — a decision she has said she is leaning toward — then the path is clear for Veasey and Johnson to run in different districts.
Veasey plans to run in the 30th Congressional District, according to a source familiar with his plans, while Johnson has said she will run in the 33rd Congressional District.
“TX-33 is home to many families, small businesses and neighborhoods that I have been proud to represent over the years,” Johnson said in a statement Friday. “I’m running in TX-33 because these communities need someone who shows up, listens and never stops fighting for them — no matter how the lines are drawn.”
But if Crockett decides to stay in the House, she could lay claim to either the 30th or the 33rd Congressional District, scrambling plans. Veasey does not intend to run against her, setting up either a primary between Veasey and Johnson, forcing one to either retire from Congress prematurely or face an uphill battle against a neighboring Republican.
The 33rd Congressional District is majority Hispanic. I guess, like here in Houston, many are non-citizens, and the ones that are can’t get their behinds out to vote.
Who represents the 33rd? Marc Veasey.
If Johnson and Veasey do run against each other, the Hispanic voters could be the ones who decide who wins. It may be an interesting race to watch if it develops that way. White female v Black male, interesting.
Don’t understand why Veasey would not consider running against Crockett, unless he does not see much chance of winning in that district.
The new Texas CD-33, under proposed maps (circa late 2025), remains a majority-minority district with a plurality of Hispanic eligible voters, but significantly shifts its racial makeup, boosting the White voting share from ~23% to over 35% by adding Dallas County areas, potentially creating a primary challenge for Black Democrats like Rep. Marc Veasey, who would lose his Tarrant County base but gain Dallas County areas, complicating the district’s diverse but shifting partisan landscape.
Key Demographic Shifts & Characteristics:
- Majority-Minority: The district remains diverse, with non-white residents forming a majority of eligible voters.
- Hispanic Plurality: Hispanic residents would form the largest single group (plurality) among eligible voters.
- Increased White Representation: The proportion of White eligible voters would significantly increase, from around 23% to over 35% under the new lines.
- Impact on Current Representatives: The redrawn lines challenge incumbent Democratic Reps. Marc Veasey and Julie Johnson, as neither of their home districts remains intact, potentially pitting them against each other in a district still leaning Democratic but with a changed racial dynamic.
Crockett’s poll is based on a small sample, so it should not be relied on. I am going to assume that Crockett likes the limelight and the Queen frog in a small pond is better than a Queen without a pond.
